Liga I
Match Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Farul Constanta
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
D
D
D
W
L
D
Farul Constanta
D
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta are showing moderate recent form, and the two sides are closely matched in overall quality. However, Farul Constanta has dominated recent meetings between the two teams and have created significantly more shooting chances recently. The model predicts a home win with a 41% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply for Sepsi OSK to win. The model also sees the game as likely to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45% chance for an under, aligning with the market’s slight preference for a lower-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Farul Constanta | 1 - 4 | April 12, 2025 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Farul Constanta | 1 - 0 | February 6, 2025 |
| Farul Constanta | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 2 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| Farul Constanta | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1 - 4 | May 3, 2024 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Farul Constanta | 1 - 1 | April 5, 2024 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Farul Constanta | 0 - 1 | February 19, 2024 |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Csikszereda | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | FCSB | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Corvinul Hunedoara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Universitatea Cluj | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Rapid | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | ASA Targu Mures | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Farul Constanta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Arges Pitesti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Csikszereda | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | FCSB | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Corvinul Hunedoara | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Universitatea Cluj | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Dinamo Bucuresti | 1 - 3 | Win |
Liga I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Farul Constanta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Predictions
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win
This prediction indicates that Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe has a 40.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.15 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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