Liga I
Match Analysis
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
FCSB
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
D
W
L
D
W
W
FCSB
D
L
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, FCSB has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams. The model predicts an away win with a 55% probability, reflecting FCSB's clear quality advantage despite both sides showing moderate recent form. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (58%) and that there will be more than one goal in the game (53%), aligning with FCSB's recent creation of more shooting chances. The market odds suggest a strong favor for an away win and for the match to go over 1.5 goals, which is similar to the model's confidence levels.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 3 - 0 | February 9, 2025 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | FCSB | 0 - 1 | September 29, 2024 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | FCSB | 2 - 2 | April 24, 2024 |
| FCSB | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 2 - 1 | March 17, 2024 |
| FCSB | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 1 - 0 | February 11, 2024 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | FCSB | 2 - 5 | September 24, 2023 |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Corvinul Hunedoara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Universitatea Cluj | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Rapid | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | ASA Targu Mures | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Drita | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Csikszereda | 2 - 0 | Win |
FCSB Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Farul Constanta | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Auda | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Csikszereda | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Auda | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Arges Pitesti | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Union St. Gilloise | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Liga I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FCSB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that both Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and FCSB will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.FCSB to win
This prediction indicates that FCSB has a 54.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.23 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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