First League
Match Analysis
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
W
W
W
D
W
W
Arda Kardzhali
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 4 | March 21, 2026 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | 0 - 1 | October 20, 2025 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 2 | July 8, 2025 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | 0 - 4 | April 7, 2025 |
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | 2 - 1 | October 25, 2024 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | 0 - 1 | February 12, 2023 |
Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Vihren | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Marek | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Yantra 2019 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Dobrudzha | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Beroe | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Spartak Varna | 1 - 0 | Win |
Arda Kardzhali Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Rilski Sportist | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Cherno More Varna | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4 - 0 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 0 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Arda Kardzhali | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Septemvri Sofia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Arda Kardzhali to win
This prediction indicates that Arda Kardzhali has a 46.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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