Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye Sunday 26th July 2026 02:35 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Shandong Luneng Henan Jianye

Shandong Luneng W L W W L D

Henan Jianye L L W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Henan Jianye	Shandong Luneng	0 - 1	April 11, 2026
Henan Jianye	Shandong Luneng	2 - 2	June 30, 2025
Shandong Luneng	Henan Jianye	0 - 0	February 23, 2025
Shandong Luneng	Henan Jianye	3 - 1	August 21, 2024
Henan Jianye	Shandong Luneng	1 - 0	July 28, 2024
Shandong Luneng	Henan Jianye	2 - 2	April 9, 2024

Shandong Luneng Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Yunnan Yukun	4 - 3	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Beijing Guoan	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Shenyang Urban	1 - 5	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	0 - 5	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Chengdu Better City	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Wuhan Three Towns	3 - 3	Draw

Henan Jianye Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Yunnan Yukun	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	SHANGHAI SIPG	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Jiangxi Liansheng	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Hangzhou Greentown	0 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Beijing Guoan	1 - 2	Win
May 19, 26	Away	Tianjin Teda	1 - 2	Win

Super League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Shandong Luneng	18	9	3	6	34	31	+3	30
11	Henan Jianye	17	6	3	8	18	22	-4	21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.52% likelihood that both Shandong Luneng and Henan Jianye will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Shandong Luneng to win

This prediction indicates that Shandong Luneng has a 57.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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