Premier Division
Match Analysis
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
D
L
L
L
L
W
Derry City
L
W
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | Shelbourne | 0 - 0 | May 25, 2026 |
| Shelbourne | Derry City | 1 - 2 | April 17, 2026 |
| Derry City | Shelbourne | 1 - 2 | March 13, 2026 |
| Derry City | Shelbourne | 1 - 1 | September 19, 2025 |
| Shelbourne | Derry City | 0 - 1 | June 20, 2025 |
| Derry City | Shelbourne | 2 - 0 | May 2, 2025 |
Shelbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Ajax | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | Ajax | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Waterford | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 5 - 2 | Win |
Derry City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Bohemians | 5 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | HNK Rijeka | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | HNK Rijeka | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 33 |
Predictions
Shelbourne to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Shelbourne has a 40.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.79 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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