Shelbourne vs Dundalk Friday 03rd July 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Shelbourne Dundalk

Shelbourne D L D W D D

Dundalk L W W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dundalk	Shelbourne	1 - 2	May 1, 2026
Shelbourne	Dundalk	2 - 3	April 3, 2026
Shelbourne	Dundalk	2 - 1	January 20, 2026
Dundalk	Shelbourne	0 - 1	August 30, 2024
Shelbourne	Dundalk	1 - 0	June 7, 2024
Dundalk	Shelbourne	0 - 0	May 3, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sligo Rovers	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 22, 26	Home	Bohemians	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Drogheda United	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Galway United	1 - 1	Draw
May 25, 26	Away	Derry City	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Waterford	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Bohemians	1 - 2	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Galway United	0 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Derry City	2 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Drogheda United	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Dundalk	22	9	8	5	36	32	+4	35
5	Shelbourne	22	7	9	6	31	32	-1	30

This prediction indicates that Dundalk has a 35.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.26 %

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