Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
D
L
L
D
W
L
Mariehamn
W
W
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | SJK | 2 - 0 | August 15, 2026 |
| SJK | Mariehamn | 3 - 0 | April 10, 2026 |
| SJK | Mariehamn | 4 - 1 | June 28, 2025 |
| Mariehamn | SJK | 1 - 2 | April 19, 2025 |
| Mariehamn | SJK | 0 - 4 | July 21, 2024 |
| SJK | Mariehamn | 0 - 2 | May 31, 2024 |
SJK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Lahti | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Mariehamn | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Gnistan | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | HJK helsinki | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | FF Jaro | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | KuPS | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | SJK | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Ilves | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SJK | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.01% likelihood that both SJK and Mariehamn will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.SJK to win
This prediction indicates that SJK has a 60.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.73 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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