Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets Saturday 05th September 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Ska-khabarovsk

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 15 hours ago

3 – 2

Full Time

Leningradets

Match Analysis

Ska-khabarovsk Leningradets

Ska-khabarovsk L L W L L L

Leningradets L D D L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Ska-khabarovsk and Leningradets have been in poor recent form, making this a tough match to call. However, Leningradets have had defensive problems lately, while Ska-khabarovsk have been creating more shooting chances. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably more confident in the home side than the market odds suggest. The model also sees the game ending with fewer than 2 goals, aligning with the market's preference for an under 2.5 goals outcome.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leningradets	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 1	April 28, 2024
Ska-khabarovsk	Leningradets	2 - 1	October 28, 2023

Ska-khabarovsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Veles	2 - 0	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Home	Ural	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	FC UFA	1 - 0	Loss

Leningradets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	KAMAZ	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Veles	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Home	PFC Sochi	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ural	0 - 0	Draw

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Leningradets	8	1	3	4	4	10	-6	6
18	Ska-khabarovsk	8	1	0	7	6	17	-11	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 60.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ska-khabarovsk to win

This prediction indicates that Ska-khabarovsk has a 42.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.79 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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