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DBU Pokalen

Aug. 5, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
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Match Analysis

Slagelse B&I Sundby
Slagelse B&I L L L L W L
Sundby W L L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Slagelse B&I have had poor recent form and recent defensive struggles, while Sundby have been more consistent. Despite Slagelse B&I having a rest advantage, the clear quality gap favors Sundby. The model predicts a 47% chance of an away win, showing moderate confidence in Sundby’s favor. It also expects goals, with a higher chance of both teams scoring and the match going over 2.5 goals.

Slagelse B&I Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jan 28, 23 Away Fremad Amager 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 4, 22 Home Hørsholm-Usserød 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 22 Home Sonderjyske 0 - 5 Loss
Jul 23, 22 Home Ishøj 0 - 3 Loss
Mar 5, 22 Away Tårnby FF 0 - 1 Win
Mar 3, 22 Away Ishøj 3 - 1 Loss

Sundby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Ringsted 2 - 1 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Fremad Amager 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Nykobing FC 1 - 3 Loss
Feb 14, 26 Away Fremad Amager 1 - 1 Draw
Jan 31, 26 Away Ishøj 1 - 5 Win
Jan 24, 26 Home Nykobing FC 1 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that both Slagelse B&I and Sundby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Sundby to win
This prediction indicates that Sundby has a 46.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.91 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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