Slovakia vs Moldova Saturday 26th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

UEFA Nations League

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Slovakia Moldova

Slovakia D W W L L W

Moldova D D L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Montenegro	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Home	Malta	2 - 1	Win
Mar 31, 26	Home	Romania	2 - 0	Win
Mar 26, 26	Home	Kosovo	3 - 4	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Away	Germany	6 - 0	Loss
Nov 14, 25	Home	Northern Ireland	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Away	Armenia	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Home	Bulgaria	2 - 2	Draw
Mar 30, 26	Away	Cyprus	3 - 2	Loss
Mar 26, 26	Home	Lithuania	0 - 2	Loss
Nov 16, 25	Away	Israel	4 - 1	Loss
Nov 13, 25	Home	Italy	0 - 2	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Slovakia has a 60.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.57 %

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