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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sorrento AZ Picerno
Sorrento W D D L W L
AZ Picerno W W D L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
AZ Picerno Sorrento 0 - 0 April 26, 2026
Sorrento AZ Picerno 1 - 1 December 20, 2025
AZ Picerno Sorrento 2 - 0 March 29, 2025
Sorrento AZ Picerno 1 - 1 November 16, 2024
Sorrento AZ Picerno 0 - 2 February 11, 2024
AZ Picerno Sorrento 1 - 1 October 1, 2023

Sorrento Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 24, 26 Away Salernitana 1 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away AZ Picerno 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Atalanta II 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Potenza 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Home Team Altamura 2 - 0 Win
Mar 30, 26 Away Casertana 2 - 0 Loss

AZ Picerno Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Scafatese 0 - 2 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Savoia 3 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sorrento 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away Salernitana 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 13, 26 Home Nuova Cosenza 3 - 1 Win
Apr 6, 26 Away Catania 1 - 2 Win

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 AZ Picerno 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Sorrento 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Sorrento to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sorrento has a 36.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.05 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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