Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
South Melbourne
Green Gully
South Melbourne
W
L
D
L
L
L
Green Gully
L
L
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Gully | South Melbourne | 0 - 1 | March 13, 2026 |
| South Melbourne | Green Gully | 1 - 1 | August 3, 2025 |
| Green Gully | South Melbourne | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2025 |
| Green Gully | South Melbourne | 0 - 1 | July 13, 2024 |
| South Melbourne | Green Gully | 3 - 0 | April 12, 2024 |
| South Melbourne | Green Gully | 1 - 0 | May 28, 2023 |
South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 26 | Away | Bentleigh Greens | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Hume City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 25, 26 | Home | Avondale | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Heidelberg United | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Hume City | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | Avondale | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Heidelberg United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | St. Albans Saints | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | South Melbourne | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 38 | -30 | 4 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.12% likelihood that both South Melbourne and Green Gully will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.South Melbourne to win
This prediction indicates that South Melbourne has a 43.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.43 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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