Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
South Melbourne
Heidelberg United
South Melbourne
L
L
W
W
W
D
Heidelberg United
W
W
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | Heidelberg United | 1 - 2 | August 23, 2026 |
| Heidelberg United | South Melbourne | 4 - 0 | May 8, 2026 |
| Heidelberg United | South Melbourne | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| South Melbourne | Heidelberg United | 0 - 3 | April 13, 2025 |
| Heidelberg United | South Melbourne | 1 - 0 | June 16, 2024 |
| South Melbourne | Heidelberg United | 1 - 1 | March 8, 2024 |
South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Heidelberg United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Melbourne City II | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | St. Albans Saints | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Oakleigh Cannons | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Preston Lions | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Heidelberg United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | South Melbourne | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Hume City | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Avondale | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Sunshine Georgies | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Altona Magic | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | South Melbourne | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 35 | +4 | 41 |
| 6 | Heidelberg United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 34 | +6 | 37 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.97% likelihood that both South Melbourne and Heidelberg United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.South Melbourne or Heidelberg United to win
This prediction indicates that South Melbourne has a 39.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.73 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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