South Melbourne vs Preston Lions Sunday 19th July 2026 08:15 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

South Melbourne Preston Lions

South Melbourne L W L D L L

Preston Lions W W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Preston Lions	South Melbourne	0 - 3	April 11, 2026
South Melbourne	Preston Lions	2 - 1	June 15, 2025
Preston Lions	South Melbourne	2 - 0	March 7, 2025

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Green Gully	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Bentleigh Greens	1 - 5	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	Altona Magic	2 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Hume City	1 - 1	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Avondale	0 - 4	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 4	Loss

Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Avondale	2 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Altona Magic	1 - 0	Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Preston Lions	17	10	2	5	25	13	+12	32
8	South Melbourne	18	8	1	9	28	32	-4	25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.32% likelihood that both South Melbourne and Preston Lions will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Preston Lions to win

This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 48.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.82 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Victoria NPL

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