Spartak Nalchik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Wednesday 12th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

Spartak Nalchik

Aug. 13, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

3 – 3

Full Time

Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Match Analysis

Spartak Nalchik Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Spartak Nalchik W D W L D L

Alaniya Vladikavkaz D L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Spartak Nalchik have shown moderate form recently, while Alaniya Vladikavkaz have been struggling, particularly defensively. Despite Alaniya Vladikavkaz having a rest advantage, Spartak Nalchik also hold a modest quality edge. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is a close call but slightly favors Spartak Nalchik. There are no market odds available to compare with the model's view.

Spartak Nalchik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 7, 26	Home	Murom	3 - 2	Win
Aug 20, 25	Away	Mashuk-KMV	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 25	Home	Broke Boys	2 - 1	Win
Aug 20, 24	Home	Dinamo Stavropol	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 23	Away	Dinamo Stavropol	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 27, 23	Away	Makhachkala	4 - 0	Loss

Alaniya Vladikavkaz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 25	Away	Legion Dynamo	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 25	Home	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 25	Away	KAMAZ	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 25	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 4	Loss
May 3, 25	Away	Chayka	0 - 3	Win
Apr 27, 25	Home	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 4	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Spartak Nalchik to win

This prediction indicates that Spartak Nalchik has a 48.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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