Spartak Nalchik vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Wednesday 12th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Spartak Nalchik Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Spartak Nalchik W D W L D L

Alaniya Vladikavkaz D L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 7, 26	Home	Murom	3 - 2	Win
Aug 20, 25	Away	Mashuk-KMV	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 25	Home	Broke Boys	2 - 1	Win
Aug 20, 24	Home	Dinamo Stavropol	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 23	Away	Dinamo Stavropol	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 27, 23	Away	Makhachkala	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 20, 25	Away	Legion Dynamo	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 25	Home	FK Neftekhimik	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 25	Away	KAMAZ	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 25	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 4	Loss
May 3, 25	Away	Chayka	0 - 3	Win
Apr 27, 25	Home	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 4	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spartak Nalchik has a 48.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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