Serie B
Match Analysis
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
W
L
W
W
D
D
Ponte Preta
L
L
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | 1 - 3 | May 9, 2026 |
| Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | 0 - 4 | November 17, 2024 |
| Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | 3 - 1 | July 27, 2024 |
| Sport Recife | Ponte Preta | 3 - 3 | October 9, 2023 |
| Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | 1 - 1 | June 11, 2023 |
| Ponte Preta | Sport Recife | 1 - 0 | September 7, 2022 |
Sport Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Avai | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Londrina | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Vila Nova | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Cuiaba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Goias | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Ponte Preta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Avai | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Vila Nova | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Nautico Recife | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Ceara | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sport Recife | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 35 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sport Recife to win
This prediction indicates that Sport Recife has a 66.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.16 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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