Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Tuesday 06th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Sport Recife São Bernardo

Sport Recife W L W L L W

São Bernardo W W L W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
São Bernardo	Sport Recife	0 - 0	June 14, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Juventude	2 - 1	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	CRB	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Ceara	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Home	America Mineiro	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 0	Win
Sep 14, 26	Away	America Mineiro	0 - 2	Win
Sep 10, 26	Home	Londrina	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	0 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Goias	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Home	Nautico Recife	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Sport Recife	29	11	11	7	39	29	+10	44
10	São Bernardo	29	11	8	10	40	31	+9	41

This prediction indicates that Sport Recife has a 47.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.19 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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