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Primera División logo

Primera División

July 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal L L W L L D
Deportivo Garcilaso W D W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Garcilaso Sporting Cristal 1 - 1 February 1, 2026
Deportivo Garcilaso Sporting Cristal 0 - 1 October 19, 2025
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso 3 - 2 June 15, 2025
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 0 September 17, 2024
Deportivo Garcilaso Sporting Cristal 2 - 3 April 16, 2024
Sporting Cristal Deportivo Garcilaso 3 - 0 August 13, 2023

Sporting Cristal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Cienciano 3 - 2 Loss
May 28, 26 Away Cerro Porteno 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home ADT 2 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Away Junior 3 - 2 Loss
May 15, 26 Away FC Cajamarca 3 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Alianza Lima 1 - 1 Draw

Deportivo Garcilaso Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Juan Pablo II College 4 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home UTC 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Home Alianza Atletico 2 - 1 Win
May 4, 26 Away Cultural Santa Rosa 0 - 1 Win
Apr 28, 26 Home FBC Melgar 1 - 0 Win

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21 18 +3 26
12 Sporting Cristal 16 5 4 7 26 27 -1 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that both Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Correct Score 2 - 2
This prediction indicates that Sporting Cristal will score 2 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso will score 2 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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