Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Thursday 16th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sporting JAX Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Sporting JAX L L L D D L

Pittsburgh Riverhounds D W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Sporting JAX	3 - 2	March 28, 2026

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 5	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 6	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
May 27, 26	Home	San Antonio	4 - 4	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	2 - 1	Loss

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Louisville City	0 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 1	Win

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	6	2	4	15	13	+2	20
25	Sporting JAX	14	0	3	11	17	39	-22	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.65% likelihood that both Sporting JAX and Pittsburgh Riverhounds will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win

This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds has a 51.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.71 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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