Sportivo Carapeguá vs Guairena FC Saturday 18th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Sportivo Carapeguá Guairena FC

Sportivo Carapeguá D D L L D W

Guairena FC W L W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sportivo Carapeguá	Guairena FC	3 - 3	August 17, 2025
Guairena FC	Sportivo Carapeguá	1 - 1	May 8, 2025
Guairena FC	Sportivo Carapeguá	1 - 1	September 21, 2024
Sportivo Carapeguá	Guairena FC	0 - 0	June 15, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Resistencia	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	SOL DE America	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Deportivo Capiata	5 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Independiente F.b.c.	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Tacuary	2 - 2	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Atlético Tembetary	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Encarnación	1 - 2	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Deportivo Santani	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Fernando De La Mora	1 - 3	Win
Jun 1, 26	Home	3 de Noviembre	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	General Caballero	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Paraguari AC	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Guairena FC	13	6	3	4	16	16	0	21
11	Sportivo Carapeguá	14	4	4	6	16	26	-10	16

This prediction indicates that Guairena FC has a 37.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %

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