Sportivo Italiano vs Real Pilar Saturday 04th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Sportivo Italiano Real Pilar

Sportivo Italiano D L L W L L

Real Pilar D D W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Real Pilar	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 2	February 21, 2026
Real Pilar	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 1	August 30, 2025
Sportivo Italiano	Real Pilar	2 - 2	April 12, 2025
Real Pilar	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 1	August 5, 2023
Sportivo Italiano	Real Pilar	1 - 0	April 1, 2023
Sportivo Italiano	Real Pilar	1 - 1	August 27, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Excursionistas	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	1 - 3	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	0 - 2	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Villa San Carlos	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Liniers	0 - 1	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	UAI Urquiza	2 - 1	Win
May 26, 26	Away	Dock Sud	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	22	19	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	22	9	6	7	24	23	+1	33

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sportivo Italiano will score 0 goals, and Real Pilar will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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