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Emperor Cup

Aug. 19, 2026 4 days, 4 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

SRC Hiroshima Maruyasu Okazaki
SRC Hiroshima L L L L W L
Maruyasu Okazaki D L L W W L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

SRC Hiroshima Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 21, 23 Home FC Tokushima 1 - 3 Loss
May 26, 19 Home Institute of Fitness 1 - 2 Loss
May 27, 18 Home Matsue City 0 - 4 Loss
Jun 21, 17 Away Nagoya Grampus 6 - 0 Loss
Apr 23, 17 Home Mizushima 1 - 0 Win
Aug 27, 16 Home Ehime FC 0 - 4 Loss

Maruyasu Okazaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 28, 24 Away Jubilo Iwata 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 23 Away Tochigi City 4 - 1 Loss
Oct 28, 20 Away Honda 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 23, 20 Away Nagara Club 0 - 4 Win
Sep 16, 20 Home Suzuka Unlimited 3 - 2 Win
Jun 21, 17 Away Kashima 5 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.35% likelihood that both SRC Hiroshima and Maruyasu Okazaki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
SRC Hiroshima to win
This prediction indicates that SRC Hiroshima has a 44.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.01 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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