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Victoria NPL

July 24, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

St. Albans Saints Hume City
St. Albans Saints D L W D L L
Hume City L D W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hume City St. Albans Saints 0 - 1 April 18, 2026
St. Albans Saints Hume City 0 - 4 August 23, 2025
Hume City St. Albans Saints 3 - 2 May 10, 2025
St. Albans Saints Hume City 0 - 3 June 23, 2024
Hume City St. Albans Saints 2 - 1 March 16, 2024
St. Albans Saints Hume City 3 - 0 June 11, 2023

St. Albans Saints Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Away Heidelberg United 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 26, 26 Home Melbourne City II 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Altona Magic 2 - 1 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Preston Lions 0 - 1 Loss
May 22, 26 Away Dandenong City 2 - 1 Loss

Hume City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Preston Lions 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 1 - 3 Win
Jun 20, 26 Home Green Gully 3 - 2 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away Bentleigh Greens 1 - 5 Win
May 30, 26 Home South Melbourne 1 - 1 Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Hume City 19 12 4 3 39 22 +17 40
10 St. Albans Saints 19 6 4 9 21 34 -13 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.96% likelihood that both St. Albans Saints and Hume City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hume City to win
This prediction indicates that Hume City has a 61.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.22 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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