ST Johnstone vs Morton Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

ST Johnstone Morton

ST Johnstone W W W W W W

Morton D L D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Morton	ST Johnstone	0 - 2	March 7, 2026
ST Johnstone	Morton	5 - 0	December 20, 2025
Morton	ST Johnstone	0 - 4	October 25, 2025
ST Johnstone	Morton	1 - 1	August 30, 2025
ST Johnstone	Morton	2 - 0	July 20, 2024
ST Johnstone	Morton	3 - 0	January 18, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	0 - 4	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Ayr Utd	0 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Home	Raith Rovers	2 - 0	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Dunfermline	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Airdrie United	4 - 0	Win
Apr 4, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 1, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ross County	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Away	Dunfermline	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Arbroath	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Morton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	ST Johnstone	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ST Johnstone has a 58.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.51 %

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