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St. Louis City II logo St. Louis City II
Aug. 29, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
North Texas logo North Texas

Match Analysis

St. Louis City II North Texas
St. Louis City II D W D L L L
North Texas W L D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
North Texas St. Louis City II 3 - 0 July 5, 2026
St. Louis City II North Texas 2 - 0 May 30, 2026
North Texas St. Louis City II 1 - 3 August 17, 2025
St. Louis City II North Texas 2 - 0 June 5, 2025
North Texas St. Louis City II 0 - 3 March 10, 2025
North Texas St. Louis City II 0 - 0 November 3, 2024

St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Colorado Rapids II 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Real Monarchs 3 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home Whitecaps II 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Portland Timbers II 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Houston Dynamo FC II 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away North Texas 3 - 0 Loss

North Texas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Tacoma Defiance 3 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away LA Galaxy II 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Los Angeles II 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 19, 26 Away San Jose Earthquakes II 0 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Colorado Rapids II 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home St. Louis City II 3 - 0 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 St. Louis City II 22 8 7 7 34 33 +1 31
21 North Texas 20 7 6 7 33 30 +3 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.35% likelihood that both St. Louis City II and North Texas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
St. Louis City II to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City II has a 47.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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