Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
W
W
D
W
W
L
Real Salt Lake
W
D
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 2 | October 19, 2025 |
| Real Salt Lake | St. Louis City | 3 - 2 | July 6, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | February 5, 2025 |
| Real Salt Lake | St. Louis City | 3 - 1 | March 31, 2024 |
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | February 25, 2024 |
| St. Louis City | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 3 | June 22, 2023 |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Austin | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Real Salt Lake Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Burnley | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | FC Dallas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers | 2 - 0 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 19 | +7 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that both St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.St. Louis City or Real Salt Lake to win
This prediction indicates that Real Salt Lake has a 39.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.34 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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