ST Mirren vs Dunfermline Sunday 26th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

ST Mirren Dunfermline

ST Mirren W W W D D W

Dunfermline L W W L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dunfermline	ST Mirren	0 - 1	July 6, 2024
ST Mirren	Dunfermline	1 - 0	July 13, 2021
ST Mirren	Dunfermline	2 - 3	July 14, 2019
ST Mirren	Dunfermline	2 - 0	March 10, 2018
Dunfermline	ST Mirren	1 - 2	January 26, 2018
ST Mirren	Dunfermline	1 - 0	December 16, 2017

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Dumbarton	0 - 4	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 4	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Win

Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	East Kilbride	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kelty Hearts	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Clyde	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	FC Botosani	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Celtic	3 - 1	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

ST Mirren to win

This prediction indicates that ST Mirren has a 51.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.13 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed