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1. Division

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Stabaek Moss
Stabaek W W W W W W
Moss L D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Moss Stabaek 2 - 2 May 30, 2026
Stabaek Moss 2 - 0 March 29, 2026
Stabaek Moss 3 - 3 August 2, 2025
Moss Stabaek 4 - 2 April 27, 2025
Stabaek Moss 1 - 4 July 27, 2024
Moss Stabaek 3 - 3 May 11, 2024

Stabaek Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Egersund 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Lyn 4 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Raufoss 0 - 2 Win
Jul 27, 26 Home hodd 6 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away Ranheim 2 - 5 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Bryne 2 - 0 Win

Moss Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Bryne 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Home ODD Ballklubb 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away hodd 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Raufoss 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Away Egersund 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Strommen 3 - 2 Loss

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Stabaek 17 11 3 3 44 19 +25 36
12 Moss 18 5 3 10 29 41 -12 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that both Stabaek and Moss will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stabaek to win
This prediction indicates that Stabaek has a 74.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.66 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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