Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Championship

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Stenhousemuir Dunfermline
Stenhousemuir W L W W W D
Dunfermline W D W L L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dunfermline Stenhousemuir 3 - 0 January 18, 2025
Dunfermline Stenhousemuir 4 - 1 July 24, 2021
Dunfermline Stenhousemuir 5 - 0 March 5, 2016
Stenhousemuir Dunfermline 0 - 3 February 6, 2016
Dunfermline Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 December 19, 2015
Stenhousemuir Dunfermline 0 - 5 September 19, 2015

Stenhousemuir Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 15, 26 Home Partick 1 - 0 Win
Sep 11, 26 Home Heart Of Midlothian 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 4, 26 Away Livingston 0 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Inverness CT 3 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Queen's Park 0 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Motherwell 0 - 0 Draw

Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Home Queen's Park 2 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Arbroath 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Home Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Livingston 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Ross County 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Draw

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 6 5 1 0 10 2 +8 16
5 Dunfermline 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Stenhousemuir to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Stenhousemuir has a 36.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.85 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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