Stenhousemuir vs Livingston Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Stenhousemuir Livingston

Stenhousemuir W L W D D W

Livingston W W W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stenhousemuir	Livingston	1 - 3	January 21, 2023
Stenhousemuir	Livingston	0 - 4	November 10, 2020
Stenhousemuir	Livingston	0 - 1	April 15, 2017
Livingston	Stenhousemuir	1 - 0	March 21, 2017
Stenhousemuir	Livingston	0 - 4	December 13, 2016
Livingston	Stenhousemuir	4 - 1	August 20, 2016

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Heart Of Midlothian	2 - 1	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundee	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Kilmarnock	1 - 4	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Dundee Utd	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Dundee	3 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Stenhousemuir has a 37.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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