League Two
Match Analysis
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Stranraer
W
D
W
L
L
L
Dumbarton
D
L
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| Dumbarton | Stranraer | 2 - 0 | March 10, 2026 |
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | 1 - 1 | December 20, 2025 |
| Dumbarton | Stranraer | 1 - 2 | September 27, 2025 |
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | 0 - 0 | April 20, 2024 |
| Stranraer | Dumbarton | 5 - 0 | March 5, 2024 |
Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Stirling Albion | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Spartans | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Alloa Athletic | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Annan Athletic | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Clyde | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Celtic II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Kelty Hearts | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Edinburgh City | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Clyde | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stirling Albion | 2 - 0 | Loss |
League Two Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Stranraer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that both Stranraer and Dumbarton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Stranraer to win
This prediction indicates that Stranraer has a 48.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.58 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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