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League Two
Stranraer logo Stranraer
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kelty Hearts logo Kelty Hearts

Match Analysis

Stranraer Kelty Hearts
Stranraer L L L L L D
Kelty Hearts W W L L W L
SHOT CONVERSION
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kelty Hearts Stranraer 3 - 0 September 6, 2025
Kelty Hearts Stranraer 2 - 0 July 25, 2023
Stranraer Kelty Hearts 0 - 3 April 16, 2022
Kelty Hearts Stranraer 3 - 2 January 29, 2022
Stranraer Kelty Hearts 0 - 4 December 18, 2021
Kelty Hearts Stranraer 1 - 0 September 25, 2021

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Away Alloa Athletic 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Annan Athletic 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Clyde 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Falkirk 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Edinburgh City 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Draw

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 11, 26 Home Motherwell U21 4 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Stirling Albion 3 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Aberdeen 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Brora Rangers 3 - 2 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Queen's Park 0 - 2 Loss

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Kelty Hearts 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
8 Stranraer 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0

Predictions

Stranraer to win
This prediction indicates that Stranraer has a 47.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.54 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Annan Athletic vs Clyde 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Stranraer vs Spartans 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Forfar Athletic vs Stirling Albion 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›