Stranraer vs East Kilbride Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Stranraer

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

East Kilbride

Match Analysis

Stranraer East Kilbride

Stranraer W L W W D W

East Kilbride W L L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stranraer	East Kilbride	2 - 1	March 14, 2026
East Kilbride	Stranraer	0 - 2	January 24, 2026
East Kilbride	Stranraer	1 - 4	December 9, 2025
Stranraer	East Kilbride	1 - 3	November 15, 2025
East Kilbride	Stranraer	3 - 1	August 16, 2025
Stranraer	East Kilbride	1 - 1	May 18, 2024

Stranraer Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	0 - 3	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Celtic II	3 - 4	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	2 - 0	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Gala Fairydean Rovers	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Spartans	1 - 0	Win

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	3 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Ross County	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Away	Cowdenbeath	1 - 3	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Montrose	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Cove Rangers	3 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.54% likelihood that both Stranraer and East Kilbride will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Stranraer or East Kilbride to win

This prediction indicates that Stranraer has a 41.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.11 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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