Sturm Graz vs Mura Friday 26th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Sturm Graz Mura

Sturm Graz W W D D D D

Mura D L W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mura	Sturm Graz	0 - 3	July 1, 2023
Mura	Sturm Graz	1 - 3	January 13, 2023
Sturm Graz	Mura	3 - 1	January 13, 2023
Sturm Graz	Mura	3 - 2	June 24, 2022
Mura	Sturm Graz	2 - 3	June 24, 2022
Sturm Graz	Mura	2 - 0	August 26, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Rapid Vienna	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	TSV Hartberg	2 - 4	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Red Bull Salzburg	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Austria Vienna	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Lask Linz	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Lask Linz	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ararat-Armenia	1 - 1	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Radomlje	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Maribor	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Primorje	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Koper	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Celje	0 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
688	Mura	6	1	3	2	8	9	-1	6
1144	Sturm Graz	3	0	3	0	7	7	0	3

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Sturm Graz has a 67.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.20 %

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