A Lyga
Match Analysis
Suduva Marijampole
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
W
D
W
W
W
D
Panevėžys
D
D
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Panevėžys | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Panevėžys | Suduva Marijampole | 0 - 0 | February 22, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Panevėžys | 1 - 1 | September 12, 2025 |
| Panevėžys | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2025 |
| Suduva Marijampole | Panevėžys | 0 - 0 | May 4, 2025 |
Suduva Marijampole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 29, 26 | Away | Panevėžys | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 16, 26 | Home | Šiauliai | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Banga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Panevėžys Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 2 | Loss |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suduva Marijampole | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 34 | 17 | +17 | 39 |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 23 |
Predictions
Suduva Marijampole to win
This prediction indicates that Suduva Marijampole has a 56.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.61 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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