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Virsliga

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Super Nova Auda
Super Nova D L L L W W
Auda L D W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Super Nova Auda 1 - 2 May 1, 2026
Auda Super Nova 2 - 1 March 8, 2026
Auda Super Nova 3 - 2 September 22, 2025
Super Nova Auda 0 - 1 July 1, 2025
Super Nova Auda 1 - 1 May 11, 2025
Auda Super Nova 1 - 0 March 16, 2025

Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 16, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away FK Liepaja 2 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Riga 3 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Grobiņa 0 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Home Ogre United 3 - 1 Win

Auda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 17, 26 Away Tukums 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home FS Jelgava 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Ogre United 2 - 0 Win
May 26, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Win
May 22, 26 Home FK Liepaja 3 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Rīgas FS 0 - 3 Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Auda 18 11 2 5 34 23 +11 35
6 Super Nova 18 6 3 9 19 25 -6 21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Auda to win
This prediction indicates that Auda has a 43.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.90 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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