Virsliga
Match Analysis
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
W
L
W
L
L
D
BFC Daugavpils
W
L
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova | 0 - 0 | June 16, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova | 0 - 1 | April 27, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova | 2 - 2 | October 25, 2025 |
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | August 2, 2025 |
| Super Nova | BFC Daugavpils | 4 - 1 | June 1, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Super Nova | 1 - 1 | April 15, 2025 |
Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 16, 26 | Away | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 0 | Draw |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Auda | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Riga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that both Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.BFC Daugavpils to win
This prediction indicates that BFC Daugavpils has a 42.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.59 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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