Super Nova vs FK Liepaja Sunday 09th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Super Nova FK Liepaja

Super Nova W L W L L D

FK Liepaja L L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Liepaja	Super Nova	2 - 1	June 12, 2026
Super Nova	FK Liepaja	1 - 2	April 23, 2026
Super Nova	FK Liepaja	3 - 0	November 9, 2025
FK Liepaja	Super Nova	0 - 3	August 25, 2025
Super Nova	FK Liepaja	1 - 3	June 17, 2025
FK Liepaja	Super Nova	2 - 2	April 25, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Grobiņa	2 - 0	Win
Jul 6, 26	Home	Ogre United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	Tukums	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Home	Austria Vienna	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Dečić	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Dečić	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	4 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28	34	-6	28
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23	35	-12	24

This prediction indicates that FK Liepaja has a 42.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.83 %

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