Super Nova vs Riga Sunday 26th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Super Nova Riga

Super Nova L W L L D L

Riga L W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Riga	Super Nova	3 - 0	May 24, 2026
Super Nova	Riga	1 - 4	April 14, 2026
Super Nova	Riga	2 - 6	August 30, 2025
Riga	Super Nova	2 - 0	June 22, 2025
Super Nova	Riga	1 - 5	May 1, 2025
Riga	Super Nova	2 - 0	March 6, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	Ogre United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	Tukums	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Ararat-Armenia	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	3 - 0	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	Auda	0 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Riga	22	17	4	1	65	19	+46	55
7	Super Nova	21	7	3	11	22	33	-11	24

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 75.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.14 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply