Virsliga
Match Analysis
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
D
D
L
W
L
W
Riga
L
W
D
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | Super Nova | 3 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
| Super Nova | Riga | 1 - 4 | April 14, 2026 |
| Super Nova | Riga | 2 - 6 | August 30, 2025 |
| Riga | Super Nova | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2025 |
| Super Nova | Riga | 1 - 5 | May 1, 2025 |
| Riga | Super Nova | 2 - 0 | March 6, 2025 |
Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Auda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Win |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | KI Klaksvik | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | KI Klaksvik | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 4 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 24 | +55 | 65 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 71.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.36 %Most Likely Scorelines
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