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Canadian Premier League

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Supra du Quebec York United
Supra du Quebec D L L W L W
York United D W W D W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Supra du Quebec Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away Vancouver FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 13, 26 Away Forge 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Cavalry FC 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 24, 26 Home HFX Wanderers FC 2 - 1 Win
Apr 19, 26 Home Atlético Ottawa 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 11, 26 Away Pacific FC 2 - 3 Win

York United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Away HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Pacific FC 0 - 1 Win
May 1, 26 Home Atlético Ottawa 4 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Cavalry FC 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Vancouver FC 1 - 0 Win
Apr 11, 26 Home HFX Wanderers FC 2 - 2 Draw

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 York United 6 3 3 0 10 5 +5 12
5 Supra du Quebec 6 2 1 3 6 7 -1 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
York United to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that York United has a 37.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.35 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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