MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
Tacoma Defiance
Whitecaps II
Tacoma Defiance
W
L
D
W
W
L
Whitecaps II
L
W
L
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whitecaps II | Tacoma Defiance | 0 - 2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Whitecaps II | Tacoma Defiance | 2 - 1 | April 12, 2026 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Whitecaps II | 1 - 3 | September 5, 2025 |
| Whitecaps II | Tacoma Defiance | 5 - 0 | May 15, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | Whitecaps II | 5 - 3 | April 7, 2025 |
| Whitecaps II | Tacoma Defiance | 3 - 1 | September 21, 2024 |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 29, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Real Monarchs | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo FC II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Whitecaps II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 11, 26 | Home | North Texas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 0 - 1 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Tacoma Defiance | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 22 |
| 26 | Whitecaps II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 15 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.59% likelihood that both Tacoma Defiance and Whitecaps II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tacoma Defiance to win
This prediction indicates that Tacoma Defiance has a 51.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.21 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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