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Segunda División

Aug. 23, 2026 6 days, 21 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Tacuarembo Fenix
Tacuarembo D W L L D L
Fenix D D W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Fenix Tacuarembo 1 - 2 May 17, 2026
Fenix Tacuarembo 3 - 2 April 5, 2026
Fenix Tacuarembo 4 - 2 October 10, 2025
Tacuarembo Fenix 0 - 0 July 20, 2025
Fenix Tacuarembo 0 - 1 March 22, 2025
Fenix Tacuarembo 0 - 1 February 21, 2015

Tacuarembo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Miramar 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home CA River Plate 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Plaza Colonia 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Away La Luz 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Cerrito 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Atenas 2 - 0 Loss

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home La Luz 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Cerrito 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Atenas 1 - 0 Win
Jul 13, 26 Away Paysandu 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Sportivo Huracan 2 - 0 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo 3 - 2 Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Fenix 20 8 8 4 30 20 +10 32
12 Tacuarembo 19 5 6 8 15 22 -7 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Fenix to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fenix has a 38.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.03 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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