Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Tammeka
Paide
Tammeka
W
W
L
L
W
W
Paide
W
D
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | Tammeka | 0 - 1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 1 - 4 | April 12, 2026 |
| Paide | Tammeka | 5 - 0 | October 18, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 0 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Paide | 0 - 2 | June 28, 2025 |
| Paide | Tammeka | 1 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Nõmme United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Vaprus | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Laagri | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 1 - 0 | Win |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Trans Narva | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Rapid Vienna | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Rapid Vienna | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Zira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 36 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.48% likelihood that both Tammeka and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 47.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.48 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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