Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Tammeka
Vaprus
Tammeka
W
W
W
W
L
L
Vaprus
W
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaprus | Tammeka | 0 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Tammeka | Vaprus | 1 - 4 | September 16, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Tammeka | 8 - 1 | August 15, 2025 |
| Vaprus | Tammeka | 2 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Vaprus | 0 - 5 | March 29, 2025 |
| Tammeka | Vaprus | 6 - 1 | February 16, 2025 |
Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Away | Paide | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Laagri | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 6 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Laagri | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 2 | Win |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vaprus | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 25 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.02% likelihood that both Tammeka and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tammeka or Vaprus to win
This prediction indicates that Tammeka has a 38.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.53 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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