Tarup-Paarup vs Vejle Tuesday 04th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Tarup-Paarup Vejle

Tarup-Paarup L L L D L L

Vejle D D D D W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 21, 26	Home	Næsby	0 - 6	Loss
Aug 6, 24	Away	Morud/Veflinge	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Næsby	5 - 2	Loss
Feb 24, 24	Home	Næsby	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 6, 24	Away	SfB-Oure	4 - 0	Loss
Feb 2, 23	Away	Middelfart	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Hillerød	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Randers FC	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Esbjerg	3 - 3	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Odense	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Fredericia	2 - 0	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vejle has a 73.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.59 %

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