DBU Pokalen
Match Analysis
Tarup-Paarup
Vejle
Tarup-Paarup
L
L
L
D
L
L
Vejle
W
D
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Vejle is seen as the stronger side in this match, with a clear quality gap favoring them over Tarup-Paarup. Although Tarup-Paarup have had more recent rest, their poor form and defensive struggles make them a tougher team to predict. The model predicts an away win with a 73% probability, showing strong confidence in Vejle's chances despite the rest advantage for the home team. Additionally, the model suggests a high likelihood of more than two goals being scored, indicating an open, potentially high-scoring game.
Tarup-Paarup Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 26 | Home | Næsby | 0 - 6 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 24 | Away | Morud/Veflinge | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 24 | Away | Næsby | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Feb 24, 24 | Home | Næsby | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Feb 6, 24 | Away | SfB-Oure | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Feb 2, 23 | Away | Middelfart | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Vejle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | HB Koge | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | AB Copenhagen | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Hvidovre | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Hillerød | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Randers FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Esbjerg | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Vejle to win
This prediction indicates that Vejle has a 73.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.58 %Most Likely Scorelines
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