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Úrvalsdeild

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Thor Akureyri L L L L L L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W D L L L L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 - 3 July 27, 2024
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Thor Akureyri 1 - 1 May 20, 2024
Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0 - 1 August 31, 2021
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Thor Akureyri 2 - 1 June 14, 2021
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Thor Akureyri 2 - 2 September 21, 2020
Thor Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 1 July 18, 2020

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Stjarnan 1 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Away Keflavik 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home IA Akranes 1 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 6 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home KA Akureyri 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Breidablik 4 - 0 Loss

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Keflavik 6 - 1 Win
May 21, 26 Away IA Akranes 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 0 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Away KA Akureyri 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Breidablik 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 5 - 1 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Thor Akureyri 9 2 0 7 7 23 -16 6
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 9 1 2 6 14 23 -9 5

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that both Thor Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Thor Akureyri to win
This prediction indicates that Thor Akureyri has a 46.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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