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Úrvalsdeild

May 31, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
1 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Thor Akureyri Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri L L L L L W
Stjarnan L L D L W L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Away Keflavik 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home IA Akranes 1 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 6 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Home KA Akureyri 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 27, 26 Away Breidablik 4 - 0 Loss
Apr 23, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 1 - 0 Win

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 26, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Keflavik 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 2 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away IA Akranes 1 - 2 Win
Apr 27, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 4 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Stjarnan 9 3 1 5 16 20 -4 10
10 Thor Akureyri 8 2 0 6 6 20 -14 6

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.38% likelihood that both Thor Akureyri and Stjarnan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Thor Akureyri or Stjarnan to win
This prediction indicates that Stjarnan has a 40.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.35 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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