1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
TOŠK Tešanj
GOŠK Gabela
TOŠK Tešanj
L
W
L
D
W
D
GOŠK Gabela
W
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
TOŠK Tešanj have been in moderate recent form, while GOŠK Gabela arrive with strong recent form. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality and having similar rest, the model predicts an away win for GOŠK Gabela with a 37% probability. The model also suggests a 50% chance that both teams will score and a slight tendency toward fewer goals overall, with under 1.5 goals at 47% and under 2.5 goals at 44%. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' recent performances and overall closeness in quality.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOŠK Tešanj | GOŠK Gabela | 2 - 2 | May 17, 2026 |
| GOŠK Gabela | TOŠK Tešanj | 3 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
TOŠK Tešanj Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Radnik Hadžići | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Sloboda Tuzla | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Tomislav | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Travnik | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | GOŠK Gabela | 2 - 2 | Draw |
GOŠK Gabela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Budućnost Banovići | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Čelik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Radnik Hadžići | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Tuzla City | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | TOŠK Tešanj | 2 - 2 | Draw |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GOŠK Gabela | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 10 | TOŠK Tešanj | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
GOŠK Gabela to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that GOŠK Gabela has a 36.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.38 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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