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J1 League

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba
Tokyo Verdy L W D L D L
JEF United Chiba L D L L L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba 1 - 0 April 18, 2026
JEF United Chiba Tokyo Verdy 3 - 2 April 4, 2026
Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba 2 - 1 November 26, 2023
Tokyo Verdy JEF United Chiba 3 - 2 October 22, 2023
JEF United Chiba Tokyo Verdy 1 - 0 April 16, 2023
JEF United Chiba Tokyo Verdy 3 - 1 June 26, 2022

Tokyo Verdy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Kashima 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Thespakusatsu Gunma 4 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Fagiano Okayama 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Home Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Gamba Osaka 2 - 4 Loss

JEF United Chiba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Azul Claro Numazu 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 21, 26 Away FC Tokyo 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Machida Zelvia 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Kashiwa Reysol 0 - 0 Draw

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
17 Tokyo Verdy 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
20 JEF United Chiba 3 0 0 3 0 9 -9 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tokyo Verdy to win
This prediction indicates that Tokyo Verdy has a 48.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.59 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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